Image source: Photo.com
On January 17, the National Bureau of Statistics released data that the national birth population in 2023 will be 9.02 million, and the birth rate will be 6.39 per thousand; The number of deaths was 11.1 million, and the mortality rate was 7.87 per thousand; The natural growth rate of the population was -1.48 per thousand. According to the data released by the Qiqihar Municipal Bureau of Statistics, there will be 15,072 births by the end of 2023, and the birth rate will be 3.0 per thousand, less than half of the national average.
In this context, recently, the official accounts of Qiqihar Engineering College and the Propaganda Department of Qiqihar Municipal Party Committee have successively released news that Qiqihar Engineering College held a birth reward conference, and Professor Cao Yongan, the founding president and chairman of the school, attended the meeting and delivered a speech. In his speech, Cao Yongan pointed out that population is the prerequisite for the reproduction of a nation and the foundation for the development and growth of a country. The school implements a reward system for multiple births that highlights the concept of "people-oriented", and rewards 50,000 yuan and 100,000 yuan respectively to teachers and staff who have two and third children, which is a major event that benefits the rights and interests of faculty and staff.
He stressed that the advantage of population size is the most critical factor in maintaining China's competitiveness. Funded by the school, childbirth incentives are issued to faculty and staff who respond to national policies, so as to realize that they have support and dependence, which is the care and love of faculty and staff. It is hoped that all the faculty and staff of the university will actively respond to the call of the country and assume the social responsibility of national survival and national development.
Looking back at the population development of the mainland from the "college babies pay money":
-- The birth rate of the Chinese population is declining
According to the National Bureau of Statistics, from 2016 to 2022, the birth rate of the Chinese population has declined. Since 2017, China's birth population and birth rate have been declining year by year, and the birth rate has fallen below 10‰ after 2020. As of 2022, the birth rate of the Chinese population is only 6.77 per thousand.
- Age structure of the population
From the perspective of population age composition, in recent years, the proportion of the population aged 15-64 in mainland China has continued to decline, and the proportion of the population aged 65 and above has increased year by year, and the problem of population aging has been intensifying. At the end of 2022, the population aged 60 and above was 280.04 million, accounting for 19.8%; Among them, the population aged 65 and above was 209.78 million, accounting for 14.9%, an increase of 0.7 percentage points.
-- Factors influencing low fertility
The low fertility level is also a result of economic and social development, and the fertility level is affected not only by policy factors, but also by economic, social, cultural and other factors, and the influence of the latter is gradually increasing.
With the upgrading of consumption and the rapid development of the country's economy, the cost of having children is increasing, and the economic pressure that a family needs to bear is gradually increasing. Not only that, but after having a child, there is an even bigger problem in choosing someone to take care of the child. In the face of the normalized social phenomenon that both husband and wife have jobs, most of the tasks of taking care of children fall on the elderly at home, but the physical experience of the elderly is also limited, and the risk of hiring a nanny is greater; Coupled with the unwillingness of contemporary young people to sacrifice their time and experience, such as the "selfless dedication" spirit of the previous generation of parents is no longer advocated by the post-80s and 90s, these status quo are "persuading" contemporary young people to have the next generation.
Population expert Liang Jianzhang suggested that the state could consider using financial resources equivalent to 2%-10% of GDP to encourage childbirth, if calculated according to China's annual need to have an additional population of 10 million, each child can be given a maximum of about 1 million yuan in rewards, but this does not mean that 1 million yuan in cash is given directly, but can be part of the cash, or in the form of tax cuts, housing subsidies, etc.
Yuan Xin, vice president of the Chinese Population Association and professor of the School of Economics of Nankai University, said that it is necessary to have confidence, determination, patience and perseverance in improving China's fertility rate, which is likely not to be the efforts of one generation or one or two decades that can be immediately effective.
In Yuan Xin's view, boosting fertility is a comprehensive task, in addition to making great efforts in policy support, economic support, time support, reproductive technology support, etc., but also in childcare, education, employment, housing, pension, social culture, friendly environment shaping, a package of fertility support policies and environment shaping, this is a systematic task and engineering, the support and efforts of the whole society, the purpose is to make the fertility can feel at ease, rest assured to give birth.
Prospective Economist APP Information Group
For more research and analysis of this industry, please refer to the "Analysis Report on Market Prospect and Investment Strategic Planning of China's Maternal and Child Industry" by Qianzhan Industry Research Institute.
At the same time, the Prospective Industry Research Institute also provides solutions such as industrial big data, industrial research reports, industrial planning, park planning, industrial investment, industrial mapping, smart investment promotion system, industry status certificate, IPO consulting/fundraising and investment feasibility study, and specialized and special new small giant declaration. To quote the content of this article in any public information disclosure such as prospectus and annual report, formal authorization from Qianzhan Industry Research Institute is required.
More in-depth industry analysis is available in the [Prospective Economist APP], and you can also communicate and interact with 500+ economists/senior industry researchers. More enterprise data, enterprise information, and enterprise development are all in the [Qichamao APP], the most cost-effective and most comprehensive enterprise query platform.